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Wednesday 9 December 2015

The Fool(s) On the Hill

What Are Your Plans If A War Breaks Out Between NATO And Russian Forces In Syria?

(Sheep Being Led By Donkeys)

You hadn't thought about it or its consequences for you and your family?  Well you'd better.  We may be closer to this than you imagine – and all by deliberate intent.

There is hardly a world leader who has had military experience – or even served in a war zone in any meaningful capacity – yet all such greenhorn career business politicians are now making decisions which could bring us all closer to a world war than you might ever have imagined.

Let's Bomb Syria! (and Reclaim 'Mojo')
Premier Cameron is just the latest in a long line of such politicians who believe that they can undermine the only existing legitimate Syrian government (of President Bashar al-Assad, in case this information was lost in translation) under the aegis of a U.N. mandate, without the approval of the Syrian government – and all the mainstream media in Western Europe and in the United States, are going along for the ride.

There are indeed security dangers to the vital interests of the United States – but they are not the ones your mainstream media are flagging up.

Oh! What A Lovely War 
(As Long As Someone Else Does the Fighting and the Dying)
This is a war where your media has been asked not to ask too many awkward questions about – just let the politicians 'have their war' and accept 'feed briefings' from the Department of Defense media relations Officers.

Many senior Congressional legislators are not even taking (nor seeking) the advice offered by experienced senior military commanders, analysts and advisors (yes, some retired) who are privately (and some publicly) warning of the very real dangers of escalation to a conventional war between the superpowers – all to no avail - as the politicians are determined to have their regime changes in the Arab world, come what may, at whatever cost, and only listen to those views which support their myopic war strategy.  Most have little to no knowledge of Islam, the Arab world, its history, culture, peoples and even fewer have ever traveled in Muslim lands other than to stay in an 'armed fortress', hotel or palace of a ruling dignitary or for a conference.

They Actually Fired Back (!)
When British Tornado jets, Eurofighter Typhoon and F-22s or indeed even, for the first publicly declared time in a conflict zone, F-26s [Stavatti Tactical Air Warfare Systems] are being shot at (or shot down) over Syria (or indeed, is targeted  destroyed or shot down over the 'neutral' territory it 'accidentally' 'locked in' Syrian government armed forces then despatched its payload) there will be a public outcry and Russia will be issued with an 'ultimatum' to withdraw its combat and technical support forces and equipment (effectively leaving the Assad government defenseless against Daesh) with promises to 'protect' the civilians (with a coalition of Jordanian, Egyptian and Turkish and Gulf -including Saudi – 'peacekeeping' forces) and that all Syrian personnel who 'surrender' to the West-backed 'moderate' forces (Daesh/Al-Qaeda/Al Nusra and other extremist Islamists) will be spared; what are your plans when Russia calls the bluff and refuses to 'surrender' to a NATO 'ultimatum' against 'Russian aggression' in Syria?

Reality Check
You had not thought that it might ever affect your life in your home village in Europe, that it would never affect your children, that the cities and towns you live in Western Europe would never become the target for cruise missiles should a crisis, which politicians, failing to listen to military and experienced advisors, have dug themselves into and one which then escalates through a so-called 'miscalculation'?

If you have never given any real thought to Syria and see it as some distant land which will never affect you personally in your city, town or village in Western Europe, then think again.

This is what happens when sheep are led by wolves – or by donkeys.
In a normal world I would be considered delusional.
Everyone around me is (or appears) oblivious to the machinations being created on a chessboard called Syria.

The Daily Mirage
Mainstream media has created the impression that you are assured, with conviction, that Russia will back down over Syria – besides Russia is the 'aggressor' in Syria (even though it the only foreign country in Syria to fight Daesh/ISIL/Al Qaeda by express invitation of the Syrian government – all other countries are operating there against the wishes of the Syrian government – with the ultimate goal of overthrowing the Syrian government.)
Who invited the British, The French and the Germans to undertake bombing missions in Syria? It certainly was not the only (yes only) legitimate Syrian government engaged in a war against global terrorists on its own territory with such terrorists (Al Qaeda/Daesh) aided and assisted by a NATO member (Turkey) and other Sunni countries in proximity.

Is Syria That 'Bridge Too Far'?
From it's Caspian Sea fleet Russia has demonstrated that it will use its cruise missiles in this conflict arena. If we had really intelligent politicians they should not have failed to miss the significance of this – and the dangers such pose for all sides if this conflict escalates – which it already has.

Is History About To Justify Itself?
Will that colorful 45-minute warning Premier Blair provided as reason for the Iraq campaign this time be turned into a physical reality - should Western politicians 'push their luck' too far against Russia in Syria?

The harsh reality will sink in when the first U.K./NATO/Turkish fighter plane is brought down within Syrian territorial airspace by Syrian-Russian air defenses – and a howl of political and media protests call for Russia to withdraw support for the secular government of President Assad – to be followed first with economic sanctions against Russia (and the BRICS Block – should they move to support Russia) followed by a further military build up in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Nobody will ask the pertinent questions:
Why did we commit air power into a boiling molten cauldron we could not have failed to notice could only explode?

Whence The Threat To Peace?
The irony of it all is that, other than being an implaccable enemy of Israel, Syria is not vital to U.S. interests.
It was not even a threat to Israeli interests and, until Daesh/ISIL fighters showed up for treatment in Israeli hospitals across the Golan heights, the area was not a threat to global peace nor international terrorism.
Only in recent months has the U.S.-Israel lobby started speaking out, quite reluctantly, against ISIL-Daesh.
The reason for this is a misperception that Daesh was doing Israel's work - in destroying Syria, Iraq, Libya and other enemies.
The further strategy is to unhinge Syria from it's 'axis' with Hezbollah and Iran – but this will destabilize Lebanon – and effectively plunge it into a bloodbath as the Maronite Christians plot (or are encouraged with promises of Turkish support) to take on Hezbollah. Iran, seeing the dangers, would then no doubt encourage even more volunteers than already present to conjoin the Holy War against the Sunnis, the Salafists and Wahhabists all operating under different banners and guises, in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon before it too finds itself isolated in the region.

'The Great Game'
The question of whether all this chaos and bloodshed is really necessary to fulfill economic and strategic objectives of the United States in the region and globally (fragmentation -divide and rule- of the BRICS block) is one best left for future historians.
Certainly what we can say at present is that there are absolutely no morals nor ethics and that the United Nations is, in effect, a paper tiger, no longer relevant in today's world.
There are many nations which will laud its demise.
Only when the laws of the jungle are applied, with vengeance, by adversaries, against their own populations, will they rue the day the United Nations became a redundant, powerless or spent entity.

Bringing Democracy To Iraq and Syria - With Global Extremist Jihadi Battalions
Before Syria was plunged into its present chaos, it was no doubt a tyranny – but so too are most of the Arab States in the region. Islam and democracy do not sit well in the quasi- tribal-religious and mediaeval environments of the Middle East and North Africa.

Is such chaos, regime change in favor of religious extremists (as opposed to the pre-existing secular dictatorships) absolutely essential to guarantee control of strategic resources and economic regional power?
Is the installation of religious tyrannies absolutely essential to guarantee a new Sykes Picot reconfiguration to ensure the 'Arab masses' remain disenfranchised and ruled by tyrants, religious extremists supported by Saudi Arabia and Turkey or benevolent despots, on our behalf, for yet another hundred years?

My answer to both questions would be that they are unnecessary. But the politicians, eminent Western academics, specialists, experts and your mainstream media are all, in unison, telling you otherwise.
Indeed in the British House of Commons by voting to bomb a country which has never blitzed the U.K., sent terrorists to bomb its people nor carried out any hostile acts on its territories, the phrase Britain has regained it's 'mojo' in the world, was the exhilarated drumbeat echoed by one old Etonian schoolboy, oblivious to the true horrors of war, first hand. The phrase, when fully interpreted in the syntax of a sentence reads as 'Oh goodie!; we're going to war!'

(I leave out the military from having an opinion in this debate since in our Western secular democracies, as opposed to the dictatorships and religious extremist fanatics we are attempting to impose on others, the armed forces simply do as they are told and carry out orders by or on behalf of, the politicians. (And Western politicians will only tell their military commanders, after the fact, that they should never have carried out political orders or they should have questioned anything they knew or thought they knew were or was illegal or unlawful before committing, what they are now told (after the facts) is or are 'war crimes'.)

Formal Declaration Of War
The Presidential Office in the United States compared to The Role Of The British Premier's Office
In Britain unlike in the United States, the Premier is not the Commander-In-Chief of the British Armed Forces but a political legislator. In the United States a formal resolution - Authorization For The Use of Military Force – AUMF – is drafted for Congressional approval by the Commander-In-Chief, the President of The United States.
Under Executive Authority however, the President, as Commander-In-Chief, can, himself or herself, declare war, but without congressional constitutional authority, such a declaration lacks legitimate sanction by the whole country.
It should be recalled that this AUMF against Daesh/ISIL/ISIS, drafted by President Obama and debated in March/April 2014, was not approved by the U.S. Congress. )


Epilog
Has your mainstream media and the political class told you that the building of Churches in 'moderate' Saudi Arabia is illegal and most Saudi Imams approve the death penalty for convicted offenders? (as apostates.) The public preaching of Christianity and conversion from Islam to Christianity are illegal in both Turkey and Saudi Arabia.   In Saudi Arabia, the death penalty is recommended for such 'witches' or 'apostates'.
Such are the 'moderate' countries our Christian U.S. and Western politicians support in their bid to re-shape the Middle East and North Africa.

This is why I come back to where I started:
Either I am a delusional and a misguided idiot - or the whole world is going mad – sheep being led by donkeys – or by wolves - the fools on the hill.


©Patrick Emek, December 2015










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