The
Day After Tomorrow
Distopia
I
said several years ago that President Erdogan was a 'loose cannon'
and it was only a matter of time before he alienated the military and
secular Turkey through his Salafist-Wahhabist agenda.
As
hopes of utilizing the services of Daesh to exterminate the Kurds in
Syria and Iraq and use it as an excuse for internal crackdowns on
secular parties within Turkey itself all begin to fade, he, Erdogan,
as a demagogue, will become more and more unpredictable.
His
first reaction to impending defeat in the debacle of his own making
- Syria - is likely to be an attempt to bully and coerce the military
to continue to do his bidding for an all-out invasion, with
assistance from Saudi Arabia and other Gulf States, of Syria.
As
to how the Turkish military will respond to such blackmail has yet to
be assessed – but the outcome does not look promising for Erdogan.
Sitting
On The Fence
There
are many reasons the Turkish military will be reluctant to be drawn
into a protracted civil war in Syria.
The
first is the now high uncertainty of the outcome – with a major
superpower – The Russian Federation – heavily committed to
defending Syrian sovereignty – a very risky strategy for Erdogan
where the United States is reluctant to be blindly 'led by the nose'
into support for Turkey now that it fully appreciates his agenda has
no coherence, is fostering and spereading extremism, anarchy and
chaos, solely to further the objective of a 'greater' Turkey –
and at the expense of Western European security and social cohesion.
Secondly,
a defeat in Syria could conceivably strengthen the PKK to the extent
that Turkey find itself simultaneously at war, on a large scale, solely to prevent the creation of a greater Kurdistan.
(This
prospect is in no regional country's interest, least of all that of
Turkey, but Erdogan's military adventures are creating the very
conditions which he purports to be acting to contain.)
At
the Gates of Vienna
Thirdly,
Erdogan has already shown the 'iron fist within the velvet glove' to
the European Union – 'you do as I say or I will unleash Muslim
refugees in their tens of thousands to create chaos within your
European territories.'
The
initial alarm, and reaction, of the European Union was to attempt to
'buy off' Erdogan.
History
has shown that such a policy is ultimately doomed to failure - but
sadly, we have few politicians who understand the implications of
past historical dealings with Turkey, when it acts as a resurgent
Islamic - military power in the region.
The
countries in the direct firing line – Greece, Macedonia, Hungary, The Czech
Republic, Bulgaria and Austria, understand only too well where such
blackmail will lead – and all countries are being villified and
marginalized by a Brussels political elite,who, while cognizant of
public sentiment, see central (and Southern) Europe as both compliant
(and ultimately expendable) in the greater scheme of crises
management.
Erdogan,
through both miscalculation and fanatical expansionist ambitions, all
routed in the same twisted versions of Islam which has caused such
destruction and misery throughout the region and in North Africa, has
no sympathy for a Christian Europe which effectively rejected Turkey
as a member and has, in my opinion, decided to undermine it's
foundations utilizing a new 'army of Islam' to 'invade' Europe.
All
of the above is beyond the grasp of most innocent Muslim refugees who
are simply being used as pawns to further long-term objectives of an
expansionist Salafist-Wahhabist Turkey, led by President Recep Tayyip
Erdoğan.
Night
Of The Long Knives
Military
defeats in Syria will provide President Erdogan with a further
opportunity to purge the Turkish armed forces of 'disloyal' senior
officers and replace them with Salafist-Wahhabist staff who are under
his personal control and will do his bidding, unquestioningly.
Cerberus
The
Turkish military, as guardians of secular Turkey since the days of
Atatürk,
are all that stands between chaos in Europe and civil war in Turkey
itself.
As
to how long the Turkish armed forces will stay on the sidelines (out
of politics) remains to be seen – but events are happening so
quickly on the Syrian front that they may, reluctantly, be forced to
take action to save both Turkey and the entire region from a war
which will, almost certainly, engulf and expand into a very long
drawn out war and one which will, for sure, destroy the Turkish
economy and plunge Turkey itself into a civil war.
'The
Donald' -
and
His Appeal To Middle America
A problem that we have today in Europe and in the United States (and
this is the only point where I agree with Donald Trump) is that all
our Western politicians are 'in somebody's pocket', incapable of
taking decisions without referral to 'special interest' groups –
and as such rendering them all ineffective and hamstrung in matters
of decisive foreign policy to safeguard the security interests of
their own individual countries – especially the United
States - as opposed to foreign 'special interest' groups –
whose bidding they do and who 'pull' their financial purse strings.
In
addition to this, the foreign policy initiatives of politicians in
the United States, the European Union and its allies are very
short-sighted with no long-term planning nor thought about 'the day
after tomorrow.' This, in many respects, as much mirrors their
own tenure of political office as it does the requirement to justify
failed interventionist policies to confused and frustrated
electorates throughout Europe - as mainstream media reports of
'successes' and the 'democratization' of hitherto 'tyrannies' in the
Arab world bear absolutely no reality to what is, in actual effect,
happening on the ground.
Hence
public frustration and the rise of extremist political parties which
provide their own 'answers' to the political, policy and military
failures of discredited democratic politicians throughout Western
Europe.
Salvation
Ironically,
it may well be action, through domestic intervention, of the Turkish
military which will ultimately save the European Union from plunging
further into an abyss of political anarchy, social chaos and halt the
rise of fascism and neo-Nazism throughout Christendom.
©Patrick
Emek, February 2016
